Young Americans’ job market optimism falls as older adults stay upbeat, new Gallup poll finds



A striking reversal has emerged in how Americans view employment opportunities: for the first time in decades, young people are significantly more pessimistic about the job market than their older counterparts—a pattern that sets the United States apart from nearly every other nation surveyed.

According to a new Gallup World Poll released Monday, just 43% of Americans aged 15–34 believe it is "a good time" to find a job where they live. In contrast, 64% of those aged 55 and older share that optimism. This 21-point generational gap is the widest among all 141 countries included in the study.


Globally, the trend runs in the opposite direction: a median of 48% of younger people worldwide see favorable local job conditions, compared to only 38% of older adults. The U.S. stands as one of just five nations—alongside China, Hong Kong, Norway, Serbia, and the United Arab Emirates—where younger residents are at least 10 percentage points more pessimistic than older ones about employment prospects.


A Sudden and Sharp Decline

The shift among young Americans has been abrupt. While all age groups saw some erosion in job market confidence after 2023, those under 35 experienced the steepest drop: a 27-point plunge in optimism between 2023 and 2025. That rate of decline mirrors the collapse in confidence seen during the 2008 financial crisis—though this time, older Americans' views have remained relatively stable.


"It's an incredibly new phenomenon," said Benedict Vigers of Gallup. He noted that 2024 marked the first time in Gallup's long polling history that young Americans expressed more pessimism about the job market than their peers in other developed nations. "Has this happened in most other advanced economies? The answer is a resounding no."


Despite historically ranking among the world's most optimistic youth, young Americans now place 87th out of 141 countries in job market expectations. Even nations like Canada and New Zealand, where youth optimism is lower overall, do not exhibit such a pronounced generational divide.


Economic Anxiety and Political Implications

The divergence reflects deeper fractures in how different generations experience the U.S. economy. Recent AP-NORC polling shows that roughly 80% of adults under 35 rate the national economy as "very" or "somewhat" poor, compared to about 60% of those 55 and older.


John Della Volpe, a pollster with the Harvard Kennedy School's Institute of Politics, says many young people feel misunderstood by older generations who navigated a more accessible economic ladder. "It's just another thing that drains their mental health—' my parents don't understand that their pathway at this stage in life that I'm in was so much easier,'" he said.


This generational disconnect is likely to deepen political divides. Younger voters have increasingly prioritized economic concerns like housing affordability and wage stagnation, while expressing declining trust in traditional institutions. Although President Donald Trump improved his standing with young voters in the 2024 election by emphasizing economic growth and inflation control, recent polling suggests that support has wavered as cost-of-living pressures persist. Approximately 8 in 10 adults under 35 now disapprove of Trump's handling of the economy and living costs, versus about 6 in 10 older adults.


 Who Is Most Affected?

Pessimism is widespread across youth demographics, but is most acute among:

- Young adults who have not yet secured their first job

- Recent college graduates

- Young women


Still, the downturn spans all subgroups of younger Americans, including men and those without college degrees. "Whoever they are, they are more pessimistic than they were three years ago," Vigers observed.


Meanwhile, older Americans—who are more likely to be retired, own homes, and have accumulated assets—retain a comparatively brighter outlook. Homeownership, long a cornerstone of American economic security, has grown increasingly elusive for younger generations, potentially fueling their disillusionment.


Context and Concerns

Young Americans' current job market confidence now approximates levels last seen in 2010, at the height of the Great Recession. This pessimism aligns with broader anxieties about entry-level job availability amid rapid technological change, including the rise of artificial intelligence, which many fear could automate traditional pathways into the workforce.


The Gallup World Poll findings are based on telephone interviews with approximately 1,000 U.S. adults conducted between June 14 and July 16, 2025. The margin of error for the U.S. sample is ±4.4 percentage points.


As economic pressures mount and generational experiences diverge, the data underscores a pivotal moment: for the first time in modern polling, America's youth are not just discouraged—they are outliers in their pessimism, both at home and around the world.

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