Experts see a rocky jobs landscape ahead



 Google’s 20% boomerang hire rate for AI engineers reveals a counterintuitive talent strategy: the same 2023 layoffs that signaled retreat from AI ambitions created a pre-vetted talent pool that now fuels the company’s competitive resurgence, turning a perceived weakness into recruitment advantage.

∙ Layoff-to-rehire pipeline: The 12,000 job cuts in early 2023 inadvertently created a curated list of Google-trained engineers who understand internal systems, culture, and infrastructure—reducing onboarding friction that slows competitor hires.
∙ Compute as recruiting tool: Head of compensation John Casey explicitly cites Google’s “hefty computational infrastructure” as a talent magnet, confirming that access to training resources matters as much as compensation in AI hiring.
∙ Noam Shazeer as proof point: The Character.AI founder’s return—after leaving because Google “rebuffed” his chatbot ambitions—demonstrates the company’s cultural shift toward shipping faster and taking risks.
∙ Sergey Brin’s personal involvement: A co-founder coming out of retirement to personally recruit candidates signals existential prioritization that bureaucratic HR processes can’t match.
∙ Competitive pressure validated: Meta’s reported $100M signing bonuses and OpenAI’s aggressive retention efforts confirm the talent war is real, making Google’s boomerang strategy a cost-effective counter to compensation escalation.

The strategic implication extends beyond Google: companies that executed pandemic-era layoffs now possess an underutilized asset in their alumni networks. Former employees who’ve seen competitor operations return with comparative knowledge that pure external hires lack—making “boomerang programs” a legitimate talent strategy rather than an admission of hiring mistakes.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​
After a tough 2025 for people looking for a job, economists don't see much relief coming in 2026.

Here's what they're expecting next year:

- AI investments drive economic growth, but without creating many new jobs.
- Hiring remains sluggish, with health care likely to account for most job gains.
- Black unemployment, now at its highest rate in three years, could keep rising even if overall unemployment is stagnant.
- Wage growth slows further, with lower earners continuing to lag behind higher earners, deepening the "K-shaped" economy.

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