Nvidia's strong quarter calms AI bubble fears



 Nvidia (NVDA.O)

, opens new tab CEO Jensen Huang on Wednesday shrugged off concerns about an AI bubble as the company surprised Wall Street with accelerating growth after several quarters of slowing sales.
The chipmaker's stellar third-quarter earnings and fourth-quarter forecast calmed, at least temporarily, investor nerves over concerns that an AI boom has outrun fundamentals. Global markets have looked to the chip designer to determine whether investing billions of dollars in AI infrastructure expansion has resulted in an AI bubble.
"There's been a lot of talk about an AI bubble. From our vantage point, we see something very different," CEO Jensen Huang said on a call with analysts, where he touted how much cloud companies wanted Nvidia chips.
"We're in every cloud. The reason why developers love us is because we're literally everywhere," he said. "We're everywhere from cloud to on-premise to robotic systems, edge devices, PCs, you name it. One architecture. Things just work. It's incredible."
He reiterated a forecast from last month that the company had $500 billion in bookings for its advanced chips through 2026.
Shares of the AI market bellwether jumped 5% in extended trading, setting up the company to add $220 billion in market value. Ahead of the results, doubts had pushed Nvidia's shares down nearly 8% in November, after a surge of 1,200% in the past three years.
The broader market (.SPX), opens new tab has declined almost 3% this month.
After the results, S&P 500 futures rose 1%, showing traders expect the U.S. stock market to open sharply higher on Thursday.
The world's most valuable company said it expected fiscal fourth-quarter sales of $65 billion, plus or minus 2%, compared with analysts' average estimate of $61.66 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG. It forecast an adjusted gross margin of 75% for the period, plus or minus 50 basis points, and Nvidia's finance boss Colette Kress said the company plans to hold gross margins in the mid-70% range during fiscal 2027.
Nvidia's third-quarter sales rose 62%, their first acceleration in seven quarters. Sales in the data-center segment, which accounts for a majority of Nvidia's revenue, grew to $51.2 billion in the quarter ended October 26. Analysts expected sales of $48.62 billion.
Nvidia's fortunes pushed up shares of rival AMD (AMD.O), opens new tab, as well as those of tech giants including Alphabet (GOOGL.O), opens new tab, and Microsoft (MSFT.O), opens new tab.
The NVIDIA logo is displayed on a building in Taipei

, opens new tab
Some analysts, however, said the earnings report may not be enough to quell AI bubble fears.
"The concern that AI infrastructure spending growth is not sustainable is not likely to ebb," said Stifel analyst Ruben Roy.
Nvidia in the third quarter sharply increased how much money it spent renting back its own chips from its cloud customers, who otherwise cannot rent them out. Those contracts totaled $26 billion, more than doubling from the previous quarter.
Cloud giants, including Microsoft and Amazon (AMZN.O), opens new tab are investing billions in AI data centers, and some investors have argued these companies were artificially boosting earnings by extending the depreciable life of AI compute gear, such as Nvidia's chips.
Nvidia's business has become increasingly concentrated in its fiscal third quarter, with four customers accounting for 61% of sales, up from 56% in the second quarter.
The company has also increased its bets on AI companies, investing billions of dollars into firms that are often among its most significant customers, leading to concerns of a circular AI economy. In September, it decided to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI and supply it with data center chips.



"While results and outlook were stronger than consensus expectations, we think investors will remain concerned about the sustainability of its customers' capex spending increase and the circular financing in the AI space," said Kinngai Chan, analyst at Summit Insights.
Largely locked out of China due to U.S. export restrictions, the chipmaker is tapping the Middle East for a new avenue of growth.
The U.S. Commerce Department said on Wednesday it had authorized the export of the equivalent of up to 35,000 Nvidia Blackwell chips to two companies in Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. Per market estimates, those would be worth well above $1 billion.
But factors beyond Nvidia's control could impede its growth.
"While GPU demand continues to be massive, investors are increasingly focused on whether hyperscalers can actually put this capacity to use fast enough," said Jacob Bourne, an analyst with eMarketer. "The question is whether physical bottlenecks in power, land, and grid access will cap how quickly this demand translates into revenue growth through 2026 and beyond."
Asked by an analyst on a call what the biggest constraint to Nvidia's growth was, Huang responded at length, underscoring the scale, newness, and complexity of the AI industry. He did not single out a reason, but said this transformation demanded careful planning across supply chains, infrastructure, and financing.
Shares of technology companies surged in Asia on Thursday, after bumper earnings from chipmaker Nvidia quelled investor fears of an AI bubble and breathed new life into a tech-led rally that has propelled global stock indexes to record highs this year.
Nvidia (NVDA.O), opens a new tab on Wednesday, surprised Wall Street with accelerating growth after several quarters of slowing sales and posted a fourth-quarter forecast that exceeded expectations, sending its shares up 5% in extended trading.
That provided a much-needed boost to Asian markets on Thursday, with shares of Taiwan's TSMC (2330.TW), opens new tab, the world's largest contract chipmaker and a major supplier of chips to Nvidia, jumping 3.6%.
South Korea's SK Hynix (000660.KS), opens new tab, also a Nvidia supplier, was up more than 4%, while its peer Samsung Electronics (005930.KS), opens new tab, gained 4.5%.
The moves sent the tech-heavy Taiwan (.TWII), opens new tab and South Korea stock indexes (.KS11), opens new tab up more than 2% each, while in Japan, the Nikkei (.N225), opens new tab advanced more than 3% and reclaimed the key 50,000 level.
AI-industry heavyweight Advantest (6857.T), opens new tab surged 9%, while SoftBank Group (9984.T), opens new tab and Tokyo Electron (8035.T), opens new tab rose 4% and 5%, respectively.
Illustration shows Nvidia logo
month as investors worried that the artificial intelligence infrastructure build-out was a bubble, and in a few years, we may look back at this time and point to signs that it was," said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Northlight Asset Management.
"But in the meantime, the largest technology companies in the world are extremely profitable and they are reinvesting billions of dollars into data centers, servers, and chips, and the spending is real."
Nvidia said it expected fiscal fourth-quarter sales of $65 billion, plus or minus 2%, compared with analysts' average estimate of $61.66 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG.
Sentiment heading into the company's earnings was fragile, with equities caught up in an ugly sell-off in recent days over concerns about stretched valuations and the massive spending companies are pouring into all things AI.
Selling from some high-profile investors in tech companies also deepened the unease.
Cloud giants, including Microsoft (MSFT.O), opens new tab and Amazon (AMZN.O), opens new tab, are investing billions in AI data centers, though some investors have argued these companies were artificially boosting earnings by extending the depreciable life of AI compute gear, such as Nvidia's chips.

 The U.S. trade deficit fell by nearly 24% in August as President Donald Trump’s sweeping global tariffs pushed imports lower.

In a report delayed for more than seven weeks by the federal government shutdown, the Commerce Department said Wednesday that the gap between what the United States buys from other countries and what it sells them fell to $59.6 billion in August, from $78.2 billion in July.

Imports of goods and services dropped 5% to $340.4 billion in August from July, when U.S. companies were stocking up on foreign products before Trump finalized taxes on products from almost every country on earth. Those levies went into effect Aug. 7.

U.S. exports blipped up 0.1% in August to $280.8 billion.

Customers shop at the Reading Terminal Market in Philadelphia, Wednesday, Oct. 29, 2025. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)

Trump, charging that America’s persistent trade deficits mean that other countries have taken advantage of the U.S., has overturned decades of U.S. policy in favor of free trade, slapping double-digit tariffs on imports from most countries and targeting specific products, including steel, copper, and autos, with their own levies.

Still, the U.S. trade deficit is up so far in 2025, coming in at $713.6 billion through August, up 25% from $571.1 billion in January-August 2024.

A drop in imports and the trade deficit is good for economic growth because foreign products are subtracted from the nation’s gross domestic product. GDP is the output of a nation’s goods and services.

“August’s smaller trade deficit will be a tailwind for third-quarter real GDP, since it means that more U.S. expenditures were directed toward domestically-produced goods and services rather than foreign ones,” Bill Adams, chief economist at Comerica Bank, wrote in a commentary. “While this release is quite dated because of the government shutdown, it contributes to evidence that the economy was growing briskly in the third quarter.’'

A worker arranges produce at the Reading Terminal Market in Philadelphia, Wednesday, Oct. 29, 2025. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)

Tariffs, which Trump says will protect U.S. industries and lure factories to America, are paid by importers who typically attempt to pass along the higher cost to their customers. Economists say Trump’s tariffs are one reason U.S. inflation remains stubbornly above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

After voters’ dissatisfaction with the high cost of living led to big Democratic gains in the Nov. 4 elections, the president relented and dropped tariffs last week on beef, coffee, tea, fruit juice, cocoa, spices, bananas, oranges, tomatoes, and certain fertilizers, saying they “may, in some cases,” have contributed to higher prices.

His tariffs are also facing a legal challenge that has gone to the Supreme Court. In a Nov. 5 hearing, the justices sounded skeptical that the president had the authority to bypass Congress and slap unlimited tariffs on most imports simply by declaring a national emergency.

Nvidia reported more eye-catching numbers for its fiscal third quarter on Wednesday, with net income jumping 65% and revenue increasing 62% from a year earlier.

Last month, Nvidia became the first public company to reach a market capitalization of $5 trillion.

The ravenous appetite for the Silicon Valley company’s chips is the main reason that the company’s stock price has increased so rapidly since early 2023.

Nvidia carved out an early lead in tailoring its chipsets, known as graphics processing units, or GPUs, from use in powering video games to helping to train powerful AI systems, like the technology behind ChatGPT and image generators. Demand skyrocketed as more people began using AI chatbots. Tech companies scrambled for more chips to build and run them.

Nvidia’s journey to be one of the world’s most prominent companies has produced some extraordinary numbers. Here’s a look.

$31.9 billion

Nvidia’s net income for the third quarter, up from $19.3 billion a year ago.

38.9%

NVIDIA’s stock gain for the year, as of the close of trading on Wednesday. That follows gains of 171% in 2024 and 239% in 2023.

$4.53 trillion

Nvidia’s total market capitalization as of the close of trading Wednesday tops in the S&P 500.

Apple at $3.98 trillion and Microsoft at $3.62 trillion were next among the most valuable companies in the S&P 500. In all, nine companies in the index have market caps above $1 trillion.

$4.28 trillion

The gross domestic product of Japan, the world’s fourth-largest economy, according to the International Monetary Fund.

79

The number of trading days it took for Nvidia’s market cap to grow from $4 trillion to $5 trillion earlier this year. The market cap had jumped from $3 trillion on May 13 to $4 trillion on July 9 (41 trading days), although Nvidia had crossed and fallen back below the $3 trillion threshold several times between June 2024 and May 2025 before making the run to $4 trillion.

19.8%

The company’s contribution to the gain in the S&:P 500 this year as of Oct. 31, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices.

$162 billion

The net worth of Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, according to Forbes, puts him eighth on its Real-Time Billionaires List. Elon Musk is No. 1 at $467.7 billion.

📊 Markets snapped their 4-day losing streak, but the real story isn't today's gains. It's what the Fed just revealed.

Today's Market Action (November 19th):
• S&P 500: +0.4%
• Nasdaq: +0.6%
• Dow: +0.1%

Alphabet hit an all-time high following Tuesday's Gemini 3 AI launch, leading tech's recovery.

Nvidia Earnings Beat (After Hours):
• Revenue: $57 billion (beat by $2B)
• Q4 Guidance: $65 billion (vs. $62B expected)
• CEO Jensen Huang: "Blackwell chips are sold out"

The AI demand story remains intact, but here's what should really catch your attention...

The Hidden Story in Fed Minutes:
Officials are "strongly divided" on December rate cuts. This isn't a typical Fed disagreement. It's a fundamental split on whether the current policy is even restrictive anymore.

When the Fed can't agree, markets get volatile.

What This Means for Your Money:

💰 Savers: Your 3.5% savings yields could persist well into 2025 if the Fed stays frozen by indecision.

📈 Stock investors: Nvidia's beat is bullish for AI, but Fed uncertainty means wider market swings. Watch for quality companies getting unfairly punished alongside speculative names. That's where opportunities emerge.

📅 Tomorrow: September jobs report finally arrives (yes, September). The data is stale, but markets will react anyway because that's what markets do.

The gap between Fed officials' views hasn't been this wide in years. In my experience, these moments of maximum uncertainty often precede maximum opportunity.

"The Joe Rogan Experience" reclaimed the top spot on Apple Podcasts in 2025, overtaking "The Daily," which held the crown last year, based on Apple’s rankings published by The Hollywood Reporter. "The Mel Robbins Podcast" placed third. "Good Hang with Amy Poehler" was named the most popular new show, followed by "Not Gonna Lie with Kylie Kelce." Rogan’s Elon Musk episode was the fourth most popular overall.

Looks like everyone's a Maxxinista now. TJX Companies — which owns TJ Maxx, Home Goods, and Marshalls — on Wednesday reported better-than-expected results for the third quarter, notching a 7% sales increase year-over-year. CEO Ernie Herrman said the holiday shopping season is off to a "strong start" for the discount giant, though its guidance for the period missed Wall Street's expectations. TJX has seen healthy growth in the past few years as increasingly price-conscious shoppers seek out value.

As Paramount, Netflix, and Comcast all reportedly prepare offers to buy Warner Bros. ahead of a Thursday deadline, several factors make Paramount the logical choice, according to The Wall Street Journal. While Netflix has about three times as much cash, Larry Ellison’s backing renders Paramount the richest of all. Likewise, Ellison’s relationship with the White House gives Paramount a competitive edge. Separately, Paramount has denied a report claiming it was collaborating with a cohort of Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds on a $71 billion bid.

Investors like Google’s latest artificial intelligence model. Shares of parent company Alphabet climbed the most Wednesday since early September, Bloomberg reports, with analysts citing the “rave reviews” of Gemini 3. Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai says the new model is “built to grasp depth and nuance,” while a new agentic platform, dubbed Google Antigravity, has developers coding at “a higher, task-oriented level.” Google’s Gemini app currently boasts 650 million monthly active users. In August, rival OpenAI said its ChatGPT reached 700 million weekly users.

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