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Columbia cuts jobs amid feds battle


U.S. President Donald Trump and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney faced off in the Oval Office on Tuesday and showed no signs of retreating from their gaping differences in an ongoing trade war that has shattered decades of trust between the two countries.

The two kept it civil, but as for Trump’s calls to make Canada the 51st state, Carney insisted his nation was “not for sale,” and Trump shot back, “Time will tell.”

Columbia University is laying off nearly 180 people today amid the fallout from terminated federal research grants.

That number, according to Acting President Claire Shipman, represents about 20% of university employees who are funded in some manner by the ended grants.

"We do not make these decisions lightly," she said. "The excellence of our research portfolio is fundamental to our identity, and we are determined to support it."

How Companies Are Sidestepping Layoffs for Now
With economic uncertainty looming, many businesses are finding creative ways to avoid layoffs. Instead of cutting jobs, they’re adopting strategies to preserve their workforce while navigating financial challenges. Here’s how they’re doing it.
Flexible Work Arrangements
Companies are offering reduced hours or part-time schedules to spread work across more employees. This cuts payroll costs without losing talent. Some are also encouraging job-sharing, where two employees split responsibilities for one role, maintaining headcount while trimming expenses.

Hiring Freezes and Attrition
Rather than laying off staff, many firms are freezing new hires and letting natural turnover reduce their workforce. By not replacing employees who leave voluntarily, businesses shrink payroll gradually without forced exits.
Pay Adjustments
Some companies are implementing temporary salary reductions or delaying raises and bonuses. Others are offering equity or deferred compensation to offset lower cash pay, keeping employees invested in the company’s future.
Retraining and Redeployment
Instead of cutting jobs, businesses are retraining workers for new roles within the organization. For example, a retailer might shift staff from in-store positions to e-commerce or logistics, aligning skills with evolving needs.
Cost-Cutting Alternatives
To avoid layoffs, firms are slashing non-essential expenses like travel, events, or office perks. Some are renegotiating vendor contracts or leasing smaller office spaces to free up cash, preserving jobs in the process.
Government and Community Support
In some regions, businesses are tapping government programs, like wage subsidies or tax relief, to retain employees. Others are partnering with local organizations to share resources or secure grants, easing financial strain.
Why It Matters
These strategies help companies maintain morale, retain skilled workers, and avoid the costs of rehiring when conditions improve. Employees benefit from job security, even if it comes with temporary sacrifices. However, prolonged uncertainty could push some firms toward layoffs if these measures fall short.
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Rite Aid, which emerged from chapter 11 mid-2024, has again filed for chapter 11 in New Jersey, in a move bankruptcy wonks call a "chapter 22” (chapter 11 + chapter 11).

This second filing was prompted by vendors' refusal to adjust payment terms post-emergence from bankruptcy, resulting in liquidity constraints, empty shelves, and lagging sales, which further exacerbated liquidity concerns. In addition, labor costs increased while underperforming stores continued to underperform.

Rite Aid will continue to operate in the bankruptcy (including continuing its lucrative prescription business) while facilitating sales of its various business lines. It is, however, expected to close some locations early in the process, and likely more down the road.

While the direct impact of tariffs on this filing is unknown, the resultant inflationary environment has posed additional challenges for businesses like Rite Aid, which was already facing financial instability following its previous chapter 11 emergence.

New Jersey has notably witnessed a surge in corporate bankruptcies in recent years, with prominent cases such as Bed Bath & Beyond, David's Bridal, and WeWork also seeking chapter 11 protection within the state’s well-respected bankruptcy court.
 Oil fields are just as quick to make fortunes as break them. The 1901 Spindletop gusher in Texas jumpstarted the petroleum age, crashing oil prices. A mere two years later, over-extraction drove the field into decline. Sure, today’s industry is far larger and more sophisticated. But even in the mighty Permian Basin, which turned the United States into the world’s biggest oil producer, resources eventually deplete. There are signs that the peak is already at hand.
Twenty years ago, the U.S. produced about 5 million barrels of crude oil per day, down by half from the 1970s. With even remote fields like Alaska’s North Slope sputtering and the cost to find and extract an additional barrel of oil rising, collapse loomed.
The turnaround came when engineers figured out how to inject a mix of water, sand, and chemicals at extremely high pressure into shale formations, cracking them apart to reveal the natural gas and oil deposits within. This proved fruitful in fields from North Dakota and Appalachia, but perhaps nowhere more so than the Permian in Texas. This field alone now produces over 6 million barrels per day, nearly half of the nation’s current production and more than the entire country produced before the technological revolution.
Line chart showing crude oil production for the U.S. and the Permian
Line chart showing crude oil production for the U.S. and the Permian
While that approach, known as fracking, opened up vast new reserves, it has not upended the basic laws of economics. There is a cost to pulling black gold out of the ground. If market prices for it fall below those expenses, drillers will pull back. According to a survey of oil companies by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, opens a new tab, this break-even point is around $61 per barrel in the Midland Basin, the heart of the Permian, and $65 for the region as a whole. The market price for West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the widely used benchmark, currently hovers at around $62.
That might not be existential. What matters to most drillers is the expected price of oil over the lifetime of a well, rather than right now. The fear is that the recent, sustained downswing in WTI prices indicates diminishing expectations of future demand, particularly important for the Permian, which has effectively become the world’s swing producer, able to ramp up or dial down production quickly as conditions change.
That sensitivity may mean muted future output. The International Energy Agency predicts annual global demand for oil will grow less than 1% this year, opens a new tab. Over the long run, things look even grimmer. China accounted for roughly half of all global oil demand growth over the past two decades. The rise of electric vehicles has already slowed growth to a crawl and threatens to destroy demand. With a shift to battery power incipient elsewhere, the IEA, opens a new tab, predicts global oil demand will peak before the end of the decade, leaving a surplus of supply.
While demand predictions should be taken with a grain of salt, as gyrations during the pandemic showed - it’s harder to escape rising costs in the Permian. That $62 per barrel break-even price in Midland is up from $46 in 2017. Tariffs on crucial materials like steel will increase these costs further.
Bar chart showing per barrel oil price needed for profitable oil wells in the Permian
Bar chart showing per per-barrel oil price needed for profitable oil wells in the Permian
Operating costs are not yet high enough to threaten existing wells, plenty of which are profitable at current prices. The Dallas Fed survey indicates that it would take a further 50% cut to the price of oil before it no longer made sense to keep pumping.
Snag is, shale wells have an extremely short lifespan. On average, production drops by more than two-thirds after one year, opens a new tab, and 95% after six years. So if new wells begin to look like a bad bet, that will show up in overall production numbers quickly.
Of course, average figures belie the wide differences in the quality of land from one patch to the next. The problem is, the best spots are running out. On so-called tier-one acreage in the Permian, drilling can generate a 30% return, based on net present value, at $50 a barrel of oil. That’s enough to cover operational risk, service debt, and pay dividends. This prime real estate could run out in about 3.5 years, reckons research outfit Enverus.
That’s not the end of the world; there’s another 3.5 years' worth of oil that clears the hurdle at prices of $55. But put all of this together, and it’s enough to make some of the earliest champions of fracking increasingly bearish. Harold Hamm, who made billions by pioneering the practice in North Dakota, said at an industry conference in March that U.S. crude production was beginning to plateau. Scott Sheffield, founder of Pioneer Natural Resources, said in a CNBC interview, opens new tab that one of the main reasons he sold the company to Exxon for $65 billion in 2023 was that it was running out of tier-one inventory - and that everyone else is, too.
The Permian’s future might have already been spelled out. The Bakken Formation, largely in North Dakota, birthed one of the earliest fracking booms. Production increased from roughly 90,000 barrels of crude a day in 2005 to 1.5 million in 2019. As costs rose and tier-one and two acreage expired, North Dakota’s production has declined by nearly a third since.
Line chart showing oil production in North Dakota
Line chart showing oil production in North Dakota
The biggest energy firms are already in capital preservation mode, preferring to send cash back to shareholders. The top five Western extractors - Exxon Mobil (XOM.N), opens new tab, Chevron (CVX.N), opens new tab, TotalEnergies (TTEF.PA), opens new tab, BP (BP.L), opens new tab and Shell (SHEL.L), opens new tab - spent about $225 billion, a record, on share repurchases and dividends over the past two years. Investment in new production stagnated. To add to the foreboding, cash flow from operations didn’t cover the combination of capital expenditures and cash returned to investors at either Chevron or Exxon in the first quarter of this year.
Of course, even if the peak is already here for the Permian, it will - like the Bakken - keep pumping for years. But the effects on U.S. policy could still be substantial. As both the world’s biggest producer, and consumer, of oil, fights over fossil-fuel dependence have been intense. Even amid the dramatic rise of electric vehicles or renewable energy, politicians on both sides of the aisle have tended to favor rising production. If the Texan spigot starts to slow, and the U.S. economy tilts toward consumption, that may favor policies that favor decarbonization, if only to offset risks to national security. The last oil crisis served as a spark for all kinds of novel energy ideas. Such a change in the political economy would be the industry’s biggest risk of all.
, opens a new tab
For now, these tactics are keeping layoffs at bay, but their success depends on economic recovery. Businesses that prioritize flexibility and communication are better positioned to weather the storm while keeping their teams intact.
Twenty years after Congress passed a law requiring Americans to carry a Real ID card to board domestic flights or enter certain federal buildings, the regulations are finally set to go into effect on Wednesday, for the most part. According to Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, travelers who still haven't gotten around to applying for the new ID type will still be allowed to board planes, though they may "have an extra step" while passing through security.

The U.S. trade deficit soared to a record $140.5 billion in March as consumers and businesses alike tried to get ahead of President Donald Trump’s latest and most sweeping tariffs — with federal data showing an enormous stockpiling of pharmaceutical products.

The deficit — which measures the gap between the value of goods and services the U.S. sells abroad against what it buys — has roughly doubled over the last year. In March 2024, Commerce Department records show that the gap was just under $68.6 billion.

According to federal data released on Tuesday, U.S. exports for goods and services totaled about $278.5 billion in March, while imports climbed to nearly $419 billion. That’s up $500 million and $17.8 billion, respectively, from February trade.

Consumer goods led the import surge, increasing by $22.5 billion in March. And pharma products in particular climbed $20.9 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau and Bureau of Economic Analysis noted, signaling that drugmakers sought to get ahead of Trump’s threats to slap tariffs on the sector.

“While we had known consumer goods accounted for the bulk of March’s rise, we can now see pharmaceutical products were $20 billion higher — almost all of which were imported from Ireland,” analysts at Oxford Economics wrote in a Tuesday research note. “Uncertainty remains high, and broader signs of front-loading may be visible in coming months.”

Because pharma accounted for so much of this surge, the big rise in imports doesn’t necessarily mean other sectors used March to stockpile in the same way. Retailers, for example, may not have bought as many clothes, toys and furniture from abroad — perhaps because they were already feeling the effects of previously-implemented levies, some analysts say, or because they decided to hold off on rushing in new inventory amid uncertainty.

Either way, this may signal supply challenges down the road, with shoppers potentially seeing bare shelves for products that run out of inventory in the coming months.

Still, imports of “capital goods,” like computers, as well as automotive parts and cars, also increased in March. But industrial supplies and materials, such as metal and crude oil coming into the U.S., fell — notably as steel and aluminum tariffs and other levies impacting energy took effect. And service-based imports like travel also decreased.

Overall, imports are flooding into the U.S. for products that have — or rather, are feared to soon be — caught in the crosshairs of the ongoing trade wars. Since taking office in January, Trump has threatened and imposed a series of steep tariffs. Much of March, in particular, was filled with anticipation and uncertainty leading up to what the president called “Liberation Day” on April 2, when he announced new import taxes on nearly all of America’s trading partners. With the exception of China, higher tariff rates for many countries have since been postponed — but other sweeping levies remain.

The White House insists that new tariffs will help close long-standing trade deficits (the U.S. hasn’t sold the rest of the world more than it’s bought since 1975), reinvigorate manufacturing in America and generate government revenue. But economists are warning of significant consequences for businesses, households and economies worldwide under the rates that Trump has proposed.

These new tariffs are already increasing operating costs for businesses that rely on a global supply chain — which, in turn, will hike prices for a range of goods that consumers buy each day.

The recent surge in imports reflects efforts by companies across the country to bring in foreign goods before more duties kicked in. New orders for manufactured durable goods, for example, jumped 9.2% to $315.7 billion in March, Census Bureau data released last month shows.

March’s trade deficit surpasses the last monthly record of $130.7 billion reported in January, also amid tariff uncertainty after Trump took office, marking a more than $32 billion jump from December.

All of this contributed to shrinking economic growth in the first three months of the year. Last week, the Commerce Department reported that the U.S. gross domestic product — or output of goods and services — fell at a 0.3% annual pace from January through March, marking the first drop in three years.

Imports grew at a total 41% pace for that period, its fastest rate since 2020, shaving 5 percentage points off first-quarter growth. But that surge is likely to reverse in the second quarter, removing some weight on GDP.

 China has announced a barrage of measures meant to counter the blow to its economy from U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade war, as the two sides prepare for talks later this week.

Beijing’s central bank governor and other top financial officials outlined plans to cut interest rates and reduce bank reserve requirements to help free up more funding for lending. They also said the government would increase the amount of money available for factory upgrades and other innovations,and for elder care and other service businesses.

High tariffs imposed by Trump have begun to take a toll on China’s export-dependent economy, which was already under pressure from a prolonged downturn in the property sector.

Late Tuesday, China and the U.S. announced plans for talks between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng later this week in Geneva, Switzerland.

The agreement to talk comes at a time when both sides have remained adamant, at least in public, about not compromising on the tariffs. The talks “could be the pivot point that either locks in fragile confidence or re-ignites the ‘trade war’ inferno,” Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management said in a report.

Both the U.S. and Chinese economies have been showing signs of strain, after a spurt of activity as companies and consumers rushed to beat tariff increases.

The U.S. economy contracted by 0.3% in January-March. The Chinese economy grew at a 5.4% annual pact in the first quarter of the year, as factories ramped up production to fill a spike in orders. But economists question the validity of the statistics, and more recent reports show a deterioration in new export orders and business sentiment.

Among the support announced by China on Wednesday:

People’s Bank of China Gov. Pan Gongsheng said China’s reverse repo rate, the rate on commercial banks’ deposits with the central bank, was reduced to 1.4% from 1.5%.

The PBOC’s lending rate to commercial banks was cut by 0.25 percentage points to 1.5%.

The required reserve ratio, or portion of funds banks must hold in their reserves, was cut by 0.5%. Pan said that it would free up 1 trillion yuan ($137.6 billion) in extra cash.

The central bank also reduced interest rates on five-year housing loans.

Financial markets have been reeling as the world’s two largest economies remained embroiled in a standoff over Trump’s tariffs of as high as 145% on imports of most Chinese products. China has retaliated with tariff hikes of up to 125% on U.S. goods and stopped buying most American farm products.

The news of the extra boost for the economy and markets, plus the plans for China-U.S. trade talks, pushed share prices up more than 2% in Hong Kong and 0.5% in Shanghai early Wednesday. U.S. futures also advanced.

The muted movements were to be expected, Tan Jing Yi of Mizuho Bank said in a commentary.

“We do not expect reaction to be euphoric,” Tan said. “Point being, any trade resolution would likely take a long time, and in the near term, there may be some piecemeal exemptions or tariff reductions on certain goods.”

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